Estimating Market Potential for Solar Photovoltaic Systems in Uganda

With only 28% of the population having access to electricity, Uganda presents a huge market potential for alternative technologies provide electricity such as solar PV systems. Using simple statistical method (neighbourhood approach), this study estimates in households based on 2018 National Electrification Survey dataset collected by Bureau Statistics (UBOS). Results show that approximately 5.3 million lack thus total potential. Over 60% due supply-side gaps (also known absence coverage) while rest have coverage but demand side limitations no uptake). On contrary, our results suggest constitute biggest proportion deficit Uganda’s households. Implying these may be willing and ability pay supply, an immediate To address deficit, private companies should target unserved with appropriate systems/products innovative business models suit their needs. Government other hand subsidize affordability challenges or enhance income.